Products
AngloGold Ashanti’s main product is gold. A small
portion of its revenue is derived from the sales of
silver, uranium oxide and sulphuric acid.
AngloGold Ashanti sells its products on world
markets.
Gold market
The gold market is relatively liquid compared with
many other commodity markets. Physical
demand for gold is primarily for fabrication
purposes, including jewellery (which accounts for
almost 80% of fabricated demand), electronics,
dentistry, decorations, medals and official coins.
In addition, central banks, financial institutions
and private individuals buy, sell and hold gold
bullion as an investment and as a store of value.
The use of gold as a store of value (a
consequence of the tendency of gold to retain its
value in relative terms against basic goods, and
particularly in times of inflation and monetary
crisis) and the large quantities of gold held for this
purpose in relation to annual mine production
have meant that, historically, the potential total
supply of gold is far greater than demand at any
one time. Thus, while current supply and demand
play some part in determining the price of gold,
this does not occur to the same extent with other
commodities. Instead, the gold price has from
time to time been significantly affected by macro-
economic factors such as expectations of
inflation, interest rate changes, exchange rate
changes, changes in reserve policy by central
banks, and by global or regional political and
economic events. In times of price inflation and
currency devaluation, gold is often bought as a
store of value, leading to increased purchases
and support for the price of gold.
Changes in exchange rates against the dollar
particularly affect levels of demand for gold in
non-US economies. In South East Asia, for
example, during the mid-1990s strong local
currencies encouraged robust gold demand due
to low real gold prices in local currencies. In
contrast, when South East Asian currencies fell
sharply against the dollar in 1997, the local
currency values of gold increased proportionally,
and wholesale selling of the metal ensued in the
region. Recoveries in Asian currencies since 1999
have resulted in a decline in gold prices in these
currencies, which in turn has led to a rise in gold
demand in Asian countries to previous levels. In
the investment market, a strong dollar during the
1990s had a negative effect on investment
demand for gold in developed economies. Since
2001, the weakness in the dollar has been an
encouragement to investors to buy gold.
While political and economic crises can have
either a positive or negative impact on gold, this is
not inevitable. As a recent example of this, in
1998, despite negative sentiment caused by the
Russian financial crisis and ensuing corrections in
the capital markets worldwide, the price of gold
remained stable. By contrast, more recent
political events in the Middle East have helped to
drive the gold price higher.
The market in 2005
New levels of investor and speculator interest in
gold during 2005 led to the gold price reaching
25-year highs. Despite a lull at the beginning of
2005, investor interest in gold resumed and
significantly exceeded that of 2004. This was
most marked towards the end of the year, the
fourth year of the current rally in the gold price.
The average gold price for the year was $445 per
ounce, an increase of 9% on 2004. In January
2006, the gold price reached a 25-year high of
$567 per ounce.
The weaker dollar in the first half of 2005
continued to influence the dollar gold price.
However, this relationship did not apply during the
second half of the year when the gold price
strengthened in spite of a stronger dollar. A
significant feature of the year was the break in the
four-year link between the gold price and the
dollar/euro exchange rate, and a material increase
in the gold price in non-US dollar terms for the
first time in the current gold price cycle. After
averaging
a325 per ounce for the past four years,
the gold price reached a high of
a457 per ounce
on 12 December.
The resurgence in the dollar also contributed to a
shift in the local currency and the rand weakened
against the US dollar for most of the year. At its
weakest point of R6.96/$1, the South African
currency had lost some 19% against the dollar
since the beginning of January 2005, when the
exchange rate reached R5.64/$1. The rand
however strengthened towards the end of the
year and recouped most of its intra-year losses,
averaging R6.35/$1 for the year, compared to an
average of R6.42/$1 for 2004. The relative
weakness of the rand during the second half of
the year, together with the strong spot price of
gold in US dollars, resulted in sharply higher rand
gold prices which peaked at R111,000 per
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
The gold market
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