What Happened?
Shares of exercise equipment company Peloton (NASDAQ: PTON) fell 5.4% in the afternoon session after the company reported weak first quarter 2025 results which included an EBITDA beat, but revenue was merely in line and full-year EBITDA guidance fell slightly short of expectations. Revenue declined 13% year over year, weighed down by a 27% drop in hardware sales, even as subscription revenue held steady and churn remained low. Overall, this was a softer quarter, and the market needs more convincing performance from this turnaround.
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What The Market Is Telling Us
Peloton’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 66 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 16 days ago when the stock gained 8% as investor sentiment improved on renewed optimism that the US-China trade conflict might be nearing a resolution. According to reports, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reinforced this positive outlook by describing the trade war as "unsustainable," and emphasized that a potential agreement between the two economic powers "was possible." His comments signaled to markets that both sides might be motivated to seek common ground, raising expectations for reduced tariffs and more stability across markets.
Peloton is down 25.1% since the beginning of the year, and at $6.62 per share, it is trading 37.4% below its 52-week high of $10.57 from December 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Peloton’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $153.84.
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