Expedia’s fourth quarter saw a notable disconnect between its financial outperformance and the market’s reaction, as shares declined following the release. Management attributed the quarter’s revenue and margin expansion to several key initiatives, including robust growth in B2B bookings, a double-digit increase in lodging supply, and targeted marketing strategies. CEO Ariane Gorin highlighted that all three core brands—Expedia, Hotels.com, and Vrbo—returned to year-over-year bookings growth, citing product improvements and sharper brand positioning. She noted, “We accelerated both bookings and revenue growth and expanded margins by over two points.” The company also pointed to increased operational efficiency, driven by AI-powered customer service enhancements and disciplined cost management.
Is now the time to buy EXPE? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Expedia (EXPE) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $3.55 billion vs analyst estimates of $3.42 billion (11.4% year-on-year growth, 3.8% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $3.78 vs analyst estimates of $3.37 (12.2% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $848 million vs analyst estimates of $760.6 million (23.9% margin, 11.5% beat)
- Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $3.35 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $3.23 billion
- Operating Margin: 11.8%, up from 6.8% in the same quarter last year
- Room Nights Booked: 94 million, up 7.6 million year on year
- Market Capitalization: $24.97 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Expedia’s Q4 Earnings Call
- Mark Stephen Mahaney (Evercore ISI) asked about new product features to enhance travel planning and the sustainability of marketing leverage. CEO Ariane Gorin emphasized the integration of AI-driven experiences and data-driven marketing, while CFO Scott Schenkel highlighted ongoing marketing discipline and reallocation to high-return channels.
- Eric James Sheridan (Goldman Sachs) questioned the competitive positioning of Expedia’s consumer brands and their readiness for normalized growth. Gorin responded that brand repositioning and international expansion have placed the brands for healthy growth, but acknowledged ongoing work.
- Jed Kelly (Oppenheimer & Co.) requested perspective on long-term margin trajectory. Gorin pointed to margin expansion opportunities from scale, B2B growth, and continued operational improvements, while Schenkel noted compounding effects from past cost actions and a focus on efficiency.
- Conor T. Cunningham (Melius Research) explored supply growth trends and potential impacts from hotels shifting to direct sales with AI tools. Gorin explained that supply growth benefits both B2B and B2C, and that Expedia’s integrations with large language models and agentic browsers are designed to keep its brands visible and relevant.
- Kevin Campbell Kopelman (TD Cowen) asked about changes in Google-related traffic following AI feature rollouts and B2B marketing expense trends. Gorin said there were no material changes in traffic yet and stressed proactive experimentation with AI search, while Schenkel clarified that B2B marketing costs were aligned with revenue growth and driven by commission models.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, our analysts will closely monitor (1) the rollout and adoption of AI-powered product enhancements, especially natural language search and trip planning tools, (2) the pace of lodging supply expansion and effectiveness of onboarding automation, and (3) continued momentum in B2B partnerships and advertising growth. The integration of new acquisitions, such as Tickets, and the impact of loyalty program updates on direct bookings will also be important signposts for sustained performance.
Expedia currently trades at $204.00, down from $227.24 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
The Best Stocks for High-Quality Investors
Your portfolio can’t afford to be based on yesterday’s story. The risk in a handful of heavily crowded stocks is rising daily.
The names generating the next wave of massive growth are right here in our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).
Stocks that have made our list include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.
