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5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From The Cheesecake Factory’s Q4 Earnings Call

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The Cheesecake Factory’s fourth quarter performance was shaped by steady execution in a challenging operating environment, with management pointing to operational discipline and culinary innovation as key factors. CEO David Overton highlighted stable revenue and profitability, crediting improvements in labor productivity and guest satisfaction, as well as strong results from new menu items. Management acknowledged continued pressure on same-store sales, but emphasized that gains in restaurant-level margins and successful new restaurant openings supported overall performance. The company also noted that its approach to menu innovation, including value-oriented offerings, resonated with guests and helped offset broader industry softness.

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The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $961.6 million vs analyst estimates of $948.4 million (4.4% year-on-year growth, 1.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1 vs analyst estimates of $0.99 (1.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $86.53 million vs analyst estimates of $85.44 million (9% margin, 1.3% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 3.5%, down from 5.1% in the same quarter last year
  • Locations: 406 at quarter end, up from 382 in the same quarter last year
  • Same-Store Sales fell 2.1% year on year (1.8% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $3.21 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From The Cheesecake Factory’s Q4 Earnings Call

  • Andy Barish (Jefferies) asked about changes to the FRC business structure and management. CFO Matthew Clark said integration is progressing well, with senior leadership from Cheesecake supporting the Phoenix team and continued focus on operational scale.
  • Sara Senatore (Bank of America) inquired about value messaging and menu mix. President David Gordon emphasized positive guest response to new bites and bowls, noting targeted marketing and plans to further highlight value through menu design and social channels.
  • Brian Harbour (Morgan Stanley) asked about weather impacts on Q1 results and menu category performance. Clark estimated a 1% negative weather impact, while Gordon noted strong performance across both bites and bowls, with no single item dominating guest preferences.
  • James Salera (Stephens) questioned ongoing sales mix headwinds from menu innovation. Clark explained that while negative mix is expected to persist, it should moderate as order rates improve and guests continue to embrace new offerings.
  • Lauren Silberman (Deutsche Bank) asked about the recent restaurant closures and regional sales trends. Gordon confirmed closures were anticipated and no further are expected this year, while Clark said performance remains stable across regions despite variable weather effects.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Going forward, the StockStory team will monitor (1) the rollout and adoption of the new rewards app and its effect on customer frequency, (2) the ability to sustain expansion pace while maintaining unit economics and operational standards, and (3) how menu innovation continues to drive guest engagement and offset negative sales mix. The trends in off-premise sales performance and consumer sentiment will also be important markers for the company’s trajectory.

The Cheesecake Factory currently trades at $64.55, in line with $64.07 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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