Overview

By 2025, the crypto market is evolving. According to the latest Poain report, the trading range keeps narrowing, and volatility is stabilizing. The price of the tokens moves around significant technical and on-chain threshold levels. Against this backdrop, Poain insights suggest that the market might be at a turning point, and the next breakout or breakdown could have a substantial impact on the cycle. The importance of institutional capital inflows, network fundamentals, and realized cost metrics is increasing.

Current Market Snapshot

• The global crypto market total capitalization is currently around 3.67 trillion USD with a 1.7% upward movement in the last 24 hours.
• Bitcoin market dominance is approximately 59.33%.
• BTC trading price is around 109,330 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of 64-66 billion USD.
• Ethereum trading price is around 3,827 – 3,850 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of 38-39 billion USD.

Technical & Volume Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

Key Perspective:

The price of Bitcoin keeps fluctuating very close to the time of 200 moving average (which provides long-term support) and 100 moving average (which provides short-term resistance) as a result of this latest week the BTC prices are stabilized right between the two moving averages. Just recently, the price of intraday spot Bitcoin was hovering around an average of $109,000.

• The 24-hour trading volume stood at approximately $64 billion, which is in line with the behavior of a mature asset, rather than a wild speculative surge.
• The price action is depicting a comeback from the prior support close to $102K-104K, thus the upward move is towards the upper consolidation at $114K-116K.
• A clear breakout through that region may lead to a new target around $120K-122K from where it can go back to the previous high near $126K.
• Conversely, a drop-off at this resistance level can result in a decline to the $108K demand base, which is the area that has recently been used for accumulation.
• On the 4-hour chart, there is a symmetrical triangle formation which is typically followed by a sharp volatility breakout.

Ethereum (ETH)

Key observations:

• Ethereum is trading around the range of $3,827-3,850 with approximately $38-39 billion of 24-hour volume, indicating strong liquidity.
• The current consolidation range is very close to the $3,800 support level, and the resistance can be expected in the 4,100-4,200 region, which is also the 100-day moving average.
• It would be considered successful momentum build-out, probably targeting higher liquidity pockets in the region of $4,500+, if an upside break beyond $4,100-4,200 were to occur.
• On the other hand, if ETH encounters failure at the resistance and drops, the most likely scenario will be to retest the levels of $3,800 or even lower around $3,470, which is close to the 200-day moving average.

Today’s Market Trend – Poain Insights

• The total crypto market volume for the last 24 hours is approximately $170-180 billion, which is moderately lower in comparison to the peak speculative levels. This signifies that the market is consolidating rather than panicking or being excessively optimistic.
• The dominance of BTC is approximately 59%. This means that while an upside breakout may be more beneficial for altcoins, the major moves will still revolve around BTC/ETH leadership.
• The market structure is showing the “quiet before the storm” behavior: very narrow ranges, low volatility, and liquidity being piled up around support zones. According to the Poain analysis, all these factors point to a strong directional move afterward.
• There are a few key points to keep an eye on in the very near future: BTC finishing above $115K-116K with increased volume; ETH closing above $4,100-4,200 with a peak in network and activity.
• Risk that the price may be rejected at this point is still there: a breakdown of BTC below $108K or of ETH below $3,800 may indicate the retesting of the lower base levels instead of an immediate breakout.

On-Chain & Capital Flow Insights by Poain

Here are the detailed insights from our Poain report:

• In our Poain report, the mid-term holder realized cost basis or those that have held between 3-6 months continues to be a main turning point. When the average cost of this group is exceeded, the pressure to sell diminishes, and the patterns of accumulation become more visible.
• For BTC, the price has come back to a level close to this mid-term holder cost base that it was there recently, thus, it is a suggestion that holder sentiment is getting better and hence, the supply overhang might be getting lower.
• Regarding ETH, the network data shows that the number of wallets is increasing, the staking volume is going up, and the burn/issuance is getting better-all these against a very constructive supply/demand background.
• The exchange reserve data and net flows have been indicating a slow trend of offloading from main exchanges. Though not entirely visible in this summary, it is a Poain monitored signal of lessening selling pressure in the short term.
• To put it another way, better on-chain conditions + stable trading volume + narrowing technical ranges = a setup for a breakout according to Poain insights

Conclusion:

The Poain analysis suggests that the crypto market structurally shows signs of being constructive in 2025, though not very powerful. The current price consolidation, decent trading volumes, improving on-chain metrics, and institutional involvement are all like signposts on the way to the next move.

However, the major difference at present is that data and structure are driving sentiment rather than mere speculation. For participants guided by Poain insights, this week is the time to: see volume-backed breakout signs in BTC and ETH; follow on-chain capital flows; keep up discipline around key levels. The next sizable trend could be silently taking shape right now; when it happens, the prospect could swiftly unfold.

About Poain

Poain positions itself as the provider of data-driven analysis, reports, and insights into digital assets.

We do:

• Real-time monitoring of tokens along with tracking of flows

Technical & on-chain analytical solutions for institutions & retail clients

What is more,

Poain platform help to facilitate key breakout/brake down by daily mail

For instance, if you want to know in which ways Poain might be helpful for your trading, investing, and research activities, do come to our place at https://poain.com/.

Company Name: Poain BlockEnergy Inc.

Company Number: 20201594933

Contact: info@poain.com

Date of Establishment: July 8, 2020

Registered Address: 1401 Lawrence Street, Denver, CO 80202, United States

The main business of the company is the pre-sale and staking of Poain Coin (PEB).